The Immigrant Exclusion from Social Programs Index (IESPI)
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Key findings

Last updated August 2024. When referring to this page, please use the following citation: Koning, E.A. (2024). The IESPI Dataset – Key findings. University of Guelph, www.iespi.ca/key-findings/.

This page presents key descriptive findings from the IESPI database. For more elaborate analyses of the data, consult the studies listed on the ‘Publications’ page of this website.

Overall levels of welfare exclusion

The extent to which immigrants are excluded from social programs differs dramatically from one country to another. Welfare systems are highly inclusionary today in Sweden, Portugal, and Norway, while they are the most exclusionary among the countries under consideration in Malta, the United States, and the United Kingdom.

This graph shows summary scores of the level of immigrant welfare exclusion by country in 2023. From most inclusionary to most exclusionary, the countries are Sweden (17.9), Portugal (20.4), Norway (20.7), Spain (22.2), Germany (26.0), Canada (26.1), Finland (27.1), Ireland (27.2), France (28.4), Iceland (29.2), New Zealand (29.7), Belgium (30.6), Denmark (33.1), Luxembourg (35.7), Australia (36.1), Switzerland (39.4), Italy (40.8), Netherlands (42.3), Austria (46.4), Malta (47.5), United States (55.8), and the United Kingdom (61.6).

Average changes over time

On average, levels of immigrant welfare exclusion have not changed dramatically over time. The welfare systems of the 22 countries included in the IESPI database became more inclusionary from the 1990s until the 2000s but have remained at similar levels since the 2010s. It is also worth noting that there is little sign of policy convergence: the differences between countries have remained relatively stable over time, as illustrated by the grey area in the graph below.

This graph illustrates the average value on the Immigrant Exclusion from Social Programs Index of the 22 countries included in the dataset for each year from 1990 to 2023, along with a shaded area of that average plus and minus one standard deviation. It shows that overall levels of immigrant welfare exclusion have slowly gone down from 1990 (when the average was 42.6) to 2008 (by which time it had dropped to 33.8), and has since then stayed essentially stable. The graph also shows that the overall level of variation has not changed much over time. Throughout the period under study, the standard deviation hovers between 10 and 12 (although it is slightly higher in the period between 1990 and 1995).

Changes by country

The aggregate trend in the previous graph obfuscates different trajectories of change in different countries. In some countries (Austria, Finland, Germany, Iceland, Malta, New Zealand, Portugal, and Spain), social programs have become consistently more inclusionary. Other countries (Canada, Luxembourg, Sweden) have also undergone an inclusionary development, although at a more modest pace. In a third set of countries (Australia, Belgium, Denmark, France, Ireland, Italy, Norway and Switzerland), policies initially became more inclusionary but this trend was halted or reversed around 2010. The social programs of three other countries (the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and the United States), finally, have become more exclusionary over time.

This graph shows the development in immigrant welfare exclusion in four sets of country. One line, capturing Canada, Luxembourg and Sweden, displays a slight downward trend (from 31.7 in 1990 to 26.6 in 2023), indicating a modest inclusionary trend. A second line, capturing Australia, Belgium, Denmark, France, Ireland, Italy, Norway, and Switzerland) shows a rapid inclusionary development from 1990 (with an average value of 39.7) to 2012 (with an average value of 29.6), followed by a more exclusionary trend afterwards (reaching 32.1 by 2023). A third line (representing the average for Austria, Germany, Spain, Finland, Iceland, Malta, New Zealand and Portugal) shows a dramatic inclusionary trend, from 52.7 in 1990 to 31.1 in 2023. A fourth and final line (capturing the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and the United States) shows an equally dramatic exclusionary trend, from 34.6 in 1990 to 53.1 in 2023).

Changes by program

The trajectory of change over time has also been very different for different social programs. Health care programs and active labor market policies have gradually become more inclusionary, whereas social assistance policies have on average become more exclusionary over time. The other four programs captured in the IESPI (tax-paid pensions, contributory pensions, contributory unemployment programs, and housing benefits) have undergone comparatively little change over time in their average level of immigrant exclusion.

This graph shows developments in the level of exclusion from three different sets of social programs. The first line shows that social assistance programs have on average become more exclusionary over time, from 20.9 in 1990 to 34.6 in 2023. A second line shows that health care and active labor market programs have conversely undergone a very inclusionary trend, with an average value of 54.7 in 1990 decreasing to 27.9 by 2023. A third line shows a much more moderate inclusionary trend in the other five programs, with average values declining from 43.0 in 1990 to 36.7 in 2023.